The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. !! Don't miss a thing! The schemata upon which the West has developed its societal modality is one of a thriving and burgeoning middle-class, and this has been encouraged in other societies by the West in order for the West to meet its own needs, and in doing this the West has had other societies contribute to its progress. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Editorial warns Australia may suffer further economic pain. I think we are in for a few surprises as the old economic and political models falter and global warming becomes a real issue. [10] Herein lies the problem that Australia in the first instance and the Western world in the second, will have to face: if China is not offered a more prominent of rightful place in the schemata of world strategies/politics a massive disruption will occur as China will react to any moves by other nation-states to retard its progress. Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. Maybe it would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected Governments the US has deposed compared to China. The World Economy. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. But the US has strategic energy interests in Australia so perhaps they will not abandon us or sell us out with their own self interests are at stake. And we are afraid of China? We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. The Royal Australian Navy ship HMAS Parramatta. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. What the hell have we done? We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. China has over 1 Billion people !!! The End of History and the Last Man. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. God help our descendents. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. Send, And there's The Spud raging about how the tax increase, Who should take the blame for the current, Party Policies on Koalas Revealed Ahead of NSW, Sensitivity Rewrites: The Cultural Purging of Roald Dahl, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932, http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html, http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world, MP Tudge Leaves In Order To Spend Less Time With. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. Sociologist Steven Pinker has demonstrated that in fact violence has been reducing over the millenia. By Dr Alexey Muraviev | Analysis | 2 September 2021, Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise, noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, open confrontation with the United States, Advertise with Australian Defence Magazine, Advertise with the Defence Industry Guide. As for Jacqui Lambie how could anyone believe her statements or take them too seriously shes a very loose cannon, and I wouldnt be surprised if the PUP somehow bids her goodbye in the not too distant future. But its most chilling claim is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest. Your email address will not be published. The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. Whoops that cant be right. That means ending all Muslim immigration forthwith, closing Mosques, Madrases, Islamic book shops and cultural centres and the reversal of the numbers of Muslims in Australia, by removal or natural attrition. Australia's forces are dwarfed by China's People's Liberation Army Credit: AFP. In the context of the Chinese hypothetical invasion threat, two problem factors can be identified: the fighting force and the question of endurance. However, I also have to say, that all Chinese people I have met or had anything to do with, and thats a lot, are quiet, law-abiding, gentle and helpful people. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. Australia cut. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. The Chinese are already quietly invading us in droves, buying up huge amounts of property and investment. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. Remember our diplomats are not representative of our government and as career bureaucrats have a much more subtle take on diplomacy and very personal cntacts with its leaders. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. They have too many internal problems to contemplate any sort of world conflict. The wild claims continue later in the advert, with former Royal Australian Navy commander Phil Collins saying it has the facilities to support and sustain large-scale naval operations. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. Gosh and golly. These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. Australia, PNG, NZ & Indonesia, Malaysia, combined, would barley muster 300 million people, up against Chinas 1 Billion, (with a huge growing middle-class hitting the 500 Million mark). I mightily admire Peter Singer however if you take a look internationally things are moving in a crazy variety of directions all at once. (including Australia). You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . Roger October 23, 2015 at 2:28 pm. This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. Such a distribution of both human and physical core infrastructure offers a technologically advanced and militarily superior adversary a multitude of opportunities, ranging from political-military blackmail in times of heightened geopolitical crisis, to limited or large-scale offensive operations in times of war. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. In 1913 Western Europe accounted for 14.6 percent (%) of the worlds population. For example, the ADF can ensure command superiority by protecting its own communications, command, control, computers, intelligence and interoperability (C2I4) structures, systems and networks from hostile disruptive operations, while denying an adversary the ability to utilise theirs. This is a well written, well constructed article, but I find the premise on which it is based implausible. [1] Jacqui Lambie refuses to apologise for warning of Chinese invasion. AAP/The Australian. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. And correspondingly, where to place the US? History, and moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type of military engagement Senator Lambie is identifying. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. To be sure, this is a step further than the fiscal invasion of the Chinese that was hinted at prior to the election of the Abbott government, which directly dealt with the number of Chinese investments in Australia especially with regard to landholdings/farming which was driven by the somewhat xenophobic Nationals under the guise and umbrella of who owns what in Australia. Free market squabbling aside, and the prejudices inherent within this argument about the marketplace, the issue that needs to be examined is whether there is a modicum of truth in what Lambie has stated. And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. Drop file here. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. The largest ever Australian warship sunk in battle, HMAS . These are clear examples of preponderance and to believe China is not on a similar pathway modelled on British and American history is to deliberately ignore the evidence. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". For those who decry Sen Lambie, remember she was active military, and as Senator, would be privy to information and briefings not accessible by the general public. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. Geography still plays a very important part in war. The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. War with China is just a silly sensationalist drivel. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI. The Sydney Morning Herald, Sydney: Fairfax Media, 20 August, 2014. http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! If there is a war with China, it will most likely be over its efforts to reunite Taiwan with the mainland. Their own currencies gain prestige, giving their governments more political and military muscle. The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. Chuck in a few bucks and see just how far it goes! *chuckle*. Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. This guides the question of the optimal future force size, and the subsequent commitment to defence spending, as highlighted by Senator Jim Molan. [11] An historical comparison can be made here which befits the Wests pattern, and in doing so offers the growth of China another perspective and the inherent dangers for the West. Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. Its TERRORISM people. Time and again it has been demonstrated that invasion does not work. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. Moreover, China has continued to exercise its perceived regional rights with relative impunity; and the PRC recently rejected a US proposal to decrease tensions over the disputed territories,[14] and these are further signs the days of absolute control for the US are over. Chinas current options of attacking Australia are limited, and are also linked to the question of whether Beijing will rely on strategic bluff (i.e whether it assumes no retaliation will come its way). New York: Free Press, 1992. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. One upshot of her comment/s is that the military rise of China is now out in the public sphere and the massive impact this will have on Australia is finally beyond the hallways of the Department of Defence in Canberra. If a more solid outcome and strategic footprint air- and sea-bases in Indonesia is enabled by the PRC beyond the current military outposts of Pakistan and Myanmar the danger/s for Australia exponentially increase and an invasion would be more likely. A sad state of affairs. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. [6] Paul Monk. But if Russia, China and India decide to start trading oil in their own currencies or in gold then the petrodollar becomes just one of several major currencies. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. Strategically, Washingtons reliability as a security guarantor is the core of the issue. The importance of outposts and the enhanced capabilities they offer can be seen through Britain in the Falkland Islands/Islas Malvinas, the US in Guam, Diego Garcia and the United Arab Emirates. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. For, In the world of Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley, the Albanese Governments, From African gang violence to persecuted white South African farmers, Peter Dutton. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. War is a fools game and China knows it. Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. Perhaps of equal importance in the next decade America will have declined to the point of being non-interventionist, at least in the eyes of the PRC. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Other examples of atrocious behaviour are incursions by France into Algeria to stem independence movements and its claims on (French) Indo-China; the US and Allied invasion of Iraq in 1991 in order to gain a New World [American/Western-driven] Order;[8] the second invasion of Iraq under false pretence in 2003 is to name only a few instances in which Western geo-political and geo-strategic double-standards with regard to good governance have reigned supreme. Central banks and trading firms that now hold 60% of their reserves in dollar-denominated bonds would have to rebalance by converting dollars to those other currencies. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. Historical Statistics. 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